Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 5.068396 6.048636 7.137228 8.431443 9.923586 11.585240 13.570796
2025-02-16 3.538756 4.762872 6.262763 8.217971 10.679564 13.654542 17.498097
2025-02-23 2.547714 3.811295 5.496857 7.871097 11.083799 15.229131 20.922143
2025-03-02 1.883006 3.101211 4.854772 7.498100 11.302714 16.488859 23.979181
2025-03-09 1.509491 2.707030 4.549321 7.492324 11.953663 18.317009 27.892027
2025-03-16 1.239268 2.405377 4.312067 7.521393 12.615141 20.173925 31.957095
2025-03-23 1.022706 2.141307 4.078891 7.502798 13.170899 21.888885 35.916323
2025-03-30 0.806700 1.827300 3.702812 7.183787 13.192929 22.766771 38.653254
2025-04-06 0.678166 1.649372 3.530859 7.176974 13.704223 24.422561 42.680137
2025-04-13 0.567959 1.482495 3.348478 7.118940 14.107700 25.917067 46.534128
2025-04-20 0.521891 1.443836 3.406041 7.506492 15.320136 28.824696 52.859759
2025-04-27 0.469961 1.379733 3.400453 7.767530 16.320421 31.434107 58.843816
2025-05-04 0.429146 1.336107 3.436501 8.125890 17.554582 34.571317 65.986539
2025-05-11 0.365890 1.219972 3.295607 8.105005 18.066466 36.475321 71.141413
2025-05-18 0.297013 1.069149 3.048183 7.823030 18.034586 37.389000 74.611209
2025-05-25 0.237045 0.924810 2.787554 7.471604 17.818471 37.932803 77.435717
2025-06-01 0.203827 0.851654 2.689509 7.472414 18.322352 39.854974 82.867281
2025-06-08 0.176765 0.789983 2.609636 7.503622 18.889519 41.930448 88.694454
2025-06-15 0.151871 0.727439 2.515318 7.485803 19.344749 43.810832 94.252942
2025-06-22 0.121629 0.633545 2.312912 7.167657 19.096285 44.263104 97.097253
2025-06-29 0.104823 0.585703 2.235957 7.160936 19.553249 46.172028 102.867049
2025-07-06 0.089239 0.536590 2.144830 7.103041 19.882786 47.834007 108.233606
2025-07-13 0.085056 0.537093 2.212773 7.489857 21.305564 51.876960 118.555330